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Monday, 06.01.2025, 23:29
Swedbank: growth of foreign trade volumes in Estonia stopped
"Even though the growth of export and import prices decelerated
slightly in the second quarter, they continued to strongly support foreign
trade revenue. The export volume of goods, or growth without the impact of
price change, remained nearly the same in the second quarter as at the same
time the year before and the volume of import increased 3%," Mertsina
said.
He said that the growth in export revenue has been fast and is a result of
increased external demand and the growth in export prices. "Regardless of
export growth's deceleration in the second quarter, the growth of export has
been strong this year.
This is due to both improved external demand and an increase in export
prices. As Estonia's export transactions are mostly carried out in euros and
transactions with the U.S. dollar only account for a tenth of the total,
the stronger euro should not have a direct negative impact on our
export," Mertsina said.
He said that the export expectations and outlooks of Estonian business
operators have improved and are more and more optimistic. "An especially
strong leap in the positive direction happened in the second and third quarter,
when assessments are significantly above the ten years' average," he
said.
"The European economy at present is still in a cycle of growth. We
estimate that strong external demand will remain in the near future, but next
year we expect a modest deceleration in its growth. This means that businesses
need to make an even stronger effort in order to improve their competitiveness," Mertsina
said.